WTNT31 KNHC 221154
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Oscar Intermediate Advisory Number 13A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL162024
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024

...OSCAR CONTINUES MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.8N 74.7W
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM SE OF LONG ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Central Bahamas
* Southeastern Bahamas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Oscar was
located near latitude 22.8 North, longitude 74.7 West.  Oscar is
moving toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A faster
northeastward motion is expected later today and on Wednesday.  On
the forecast track, the center of Oscar is expected to move near the
southeastern and central Bahamas today, then move away from the
Bahamas tonight and Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the day today. Oscar is
expected to become a post-tropical low by tonight or early
Wednesday, and then be absorbed by another low pressure area by
Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
east and northeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Oscar can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in
parts of the central and southeastern Bahamas today.

RAINFALL: Across the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos
Islands, rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches, with isolated amounts
around 8 inches, are expected through today. This rainfall could
cause localized flash flooding.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Oscar,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch