ABPZ20 KNHC 062339
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Oct 6 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99):
Earlier satellite wind data indicated that an area of low pressure
located less than a couple hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico
was becoming better defined. However, the current associated shower
and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. Environmental
conditions appear generally favorable for additional development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form in the next
day or two while it moves slowly west-northwestward or
northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast of Mexico. Interests
along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress
of this system.  Regardless of development, the disturbance could
bring areas of heavy rain to portions of southwestern Mexico during
the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin