WTNT23 KNHC 022037
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
2100 UTC WED OCT 02 2024

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N  29.7W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N  29.7W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N  29.3W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 10.2N  30.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 10.1N  31.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 10.2N  32.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 10.6N  33.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 11.1N  35.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 11.8N  36.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 13.8N  38.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 16.5N  42.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.5N  29.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER TORRES-VAZQUEZ/PAPIN