WTNT23 KNHC 021442
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
1500 UTC WED OCT 02 2024

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  29.1W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  29.1W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  28.8W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 10.5N  29.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 10.2N  30.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 10.2N  31.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 10.4N  33.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 11.0N  34.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 11.7N  35.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 13.5N  38.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 16.5N  41.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N  29.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN