WTNT22 KNHC 012054
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
2100 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  40.1W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT.......170NE 170SE  70SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE  90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  40.1W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  39.7W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.1N  41.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 180SE  80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.3N  43.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.4N  44.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE  80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.4N  46.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  35SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.5N  47.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.9N  49.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 110SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 27.0N  51.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 110NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 180NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 33.0N  49.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...120NE 115SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 150SW 160NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N  40.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER MORA/PAPIN