WTNT22 KNHC 010844
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
0900 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  38.0W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......140NE 130SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  38.0W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  37.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.5N  39.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE  40SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.5N  41.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.6N  43.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE  80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.7N  44.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.9N  45.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.1N  47.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 110SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 24.2N  49.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 180NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 29.0N  49.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...150NE 130SE  80SW 110NW.
34 KT...220NE 230SE 140SW 180NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N  38.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN