ABNT20 KNHC 280526
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Sep 28 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Isaac, located over the central Subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on
Tropical Storm Joyce, located over the central Tropical Atlantic
Ocean.  The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Helene, located inland over the Ohio River
Valley.

Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A broad and elongated area of low pressure, associated with a
tropical wave, is producing limited shower activity near and to the
west of the Cabo Verde Islands.  Environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression could form next week while moving toward the west and
then northwest at about 10 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form over the western Caribbean Sea by
the early part of next week.  Environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive for additional development thereafter while the
system moves generally northwestward, and a tropical depression
could form by the middle of next week as the system enters the Gulf
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Joyce are issued under WMO
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Joyce are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster Beven