ABPZ20 KNHC 241907
TWOEP

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1210 PM PDT Wed Jul 24 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Special outlook issued to update discussion of the low pressure
system offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico (EP93).

Offshore Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Updated:  Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the low
pressure system located several hundred miles west-southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing winds to tropical storm force
south and east of its center.  The associated showers and
thunderstorms have also increased in organization during the day,
and if this activity continues, then advisories would likely be
initiated on a tropical storm later this afternoon. The low is
forecast to move westward around 15 mph, away from the southwestern
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Central and Western East Pacific:
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave
located more than one thousand miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California Peninsula remains disorganized.  Development
of this system appears unlikely over the next several days while it
moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the
central and western portions of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg/Hagen